The research publication of QAXUS
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A record of the moment.
A perspective on what comes next.
Independent research. Open to read.
Published research
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BTC grinds to $63.2K on flushed leverage as Iran ceasefire collapse re-embeds an oil risk premium
Iran ceasefire collapses, Brent rips to $80 — BTC holds mid-range at $62.6K but the bid is defensive
Iran ceasefire collapse jolts risk; BTC slips to $62K but holds the 30-day midpoint as dip buyers reload
BTC clings to $61.9K as Iran ceasefire collapse jolts oil — clean positioning meets a fresh war premium
BTC stalls at $63.6k as ETF inflows return but Strategy sells and the Hormuz truce cracks
BTC reclaims $63K, but the real test is whether buyers can clear $64.4K before macro pressure reasserts
BTC reclaims $63.8K in a trending tape — but Saylor's broken "never sell" is the tax on every rally
BTC stalls at $61.7K mid-range: whales absorb ETF bleed as Iran premium drains and real yields bite
BTC pinned at $62.7K as Extreme Fear meets a steepening curve — capitulation floor, macro ceiling
BTC grinds back above $62.7K on Extreme Fear — a squeeze setup fighting a real-rates headwind
BTC reclaims $63.2K on soft-jobs relief bid — but the whole tape hinges on whether Strategy turns seller
BTC coils at $62.6K under Extreme Fear — leverage flushed, but real yields and a potential Strategy sale cap the range
BTC grinds to $62.7K on a 5.3% weekly bounce — but Extreme Fear and a Strategy overhang keep the bid on probation
BTC bounces to $61.9K in Extreme Fear, but a no-edge range keeps the tape stuck between $58K and $67K
BTC reclaims $61.5K on soft jobs data — a coiled relief bounce fighting a tightening real-yield tide
BTC snaps 5% off $58K washout — coiled-spring squeeze into a dollar-driven downtrend
BTC reclaims $60K on a 2.4% bounce, but real yields at 2.2% and a Strategy supply overhang keep the tape fragile
BTC pinned to $58.2K floor as eight weeks of ETF bleed meet Extreme Fear — thin book, coiled tape
BTC grinds to $58.7K, 3% off the 30-day floor — rates, not war, now run the tape
BTC pins the 30-day floor at $58.4K as a hawkish Fed outweighs an oil-disinflation gift
Research archive updated
Each brief reflects the information and perspective at publication. Read it in context, consider the uncertainties, and revisit the original record.
Research, not investment advice.