The research publication of QAXUS
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A record of the moment.
A perspective on what comes next.
Independent research. Open to read.
Published research
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CPI Wednesday Owns the Week: An Inflation Fed Can't Quit Meets a Dollar Breaking From Yields
The Fed Tightens Into an Oil Shock: Crude at $96, Gold Capped by 2.9% Real Yields, Dollar Soft on Payrolls
Hawkish Fed, Rising Real Yields Break Gold's Trend — Payrolls Friday Sets the Whole Table
Hawkish Fed Meets an Oil Shock: The Rate Trade Overrides Everything
The Hike Nobody Priced Two Months Ago: Warsh's Fed Meets $100 Crude and a 5% Ten-Year
Energy Supply Shock Meets a Live Hawkish Fed — CPI Friday Is the Hinge
A Coin-Flip Fed and a Cracking Cartel: Real Yields vs. Gold's Refusal to Break
Hormuz Keeps the Inflation Trade Alive as Gold Breaks Out Into a Fragile Fed Pause
The Long End Won't Cooperate: Term-Premium Repricing vs a Fed That Lost the Narrative
CPI is the pivot: a coin-flip September Fed decision meets a crowd positioned one direction
War Premium Bleeds Out: Oil's Collapse Meets a Fed That Won't Blink Until Payrolls
Chokepoint Crisis Meets a Contested Fed: Energy Tightness Forces the Week's Hand
A Live Fed Meeting Meets an Oil Supply Shock — Gold Is the Only Uncomplicated Trade
Complacency Meets Inflation Risk as Gold Breaks, Oil Reprices Hormuz, and CPI Tests the Fed
Supply Normalization Rinses the Crude Premium; Gold Coils for a Squeeze Under a Higher-For-Longer Curve
The Fed's Hike Pivot Meets a $100 Oil Shock — CPI Wednesday Decides the Regime
Hormuz Headlines vs Physical Tightness: Stagflation Trap Widens
Hormuz Squeeze and Warsh's Debut Frame a Stagflationary Gauntlet
Hormuz Supply Shock Meets Hawkish Fed Pivot: Stagflation Risk Dominates the Tape
Research archive updated
Each brief reflects the information and perspective at publication. Read it in context, consider the uncertainties, and revisit the original record.
Research, not investment advice.