The research publication of QAXUS
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A record of the moment.
A perspective on what comes next.
Independent research. Open to read.
Published research
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BTC claws back to $83K on a Trump-Iran pause, but ETF bleed and 5.2% yields keep the bounce on probation
A year off the high, BTC holds $82K as ETF redemptions bleed October's inflows dry
Tape reclaims Thursday's AI wobble, but NVDA lags the bounce — rotation and deliveries carry the day, not the chips
BTC claws back to $82.4K as Trump defers Iran strikes past midterms, but $729M in ETF exits caps the bounce
BTC claws back to $83K after a $105 oil scare and $485M of ETF bleed — but the demand channel just blinked
AI trade takes the hit as OpenAI growth scare and oil shock split the tape — Nasdaq -1.3% while energy carries the Dow green
Oil shock meets $646M ETF exodus: BTC loses $82K as the geopolitical risk premium finally bites
Hormuz oil shock breaks BTC under $84K — leverage flush done, $82K is where conviction gets tested
Yields at 5.27% drive a defensive rotation; MSTR cracks -6.8% as the leveraged-BTC bid fades while VIX stays asleep
Oil shock breaks BTC under $84K a day after the $126,198 ATH — leverage flush, not a demand failure
BTC slips to $83.4K one day off the ATH as oil, 5.31% yields and a cooling ETF bid overwhelm Uptober greed
Record close with the whole board moving together — AI chips led the narrative but breadth, not NVDA, carried the tape
BTC parks at $85.6K as oil-driven yields and ETF outflows cap the bid — IBIT carries the whole book
BTC pins $86K at range top as Uptober flows fight 5.28% yields and a live Hormuz premium
Tech breakout carries the tape as NVDA taps records and TSLA follows deliveries higher — but a 5.28% 10-year is the counterweight
BTC pinned at $85.8K beneath the $87K cap as whales short into IBIT's rebound — $90K liquidity sits overhead
BTC pins $86K one year after ATH as $87.5K caps the tape and ETF demand narrows to one buyer
The Fed Tightens Into an Oil Shock: Crude at $96, Gold Capped by 2.9% Real Yields, Dollar Soft on Payrolls
BTC pins $85.8K under the $87.5K wall as oil-war risk and sticky 5% yields cap the Uptober bid
BTC holds $85K as ETF demand narrows and Hormuz stays shut — one year to the day from the $126K peak
Research archive updated
Each brief reflects the information and perspective at publication. Read it in context, consider the uncertainties, and revisit the original record.
Research, not investment advice.