The research publication of QAXUS
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A record of the moment.
A perspective on what comes next.
Independent research. Open to read.
Published research
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BTC held $63.4K through oil shock and ETF slippage, but the market still needs $62.5K to survive and $66K to heal
BTC coils at $64K into a live FOMC — compressed positioning primes a squeeze either way
BTC holds $63.8K as oil-risk premium unwinds — but tight real yields keep the lid on any re-rating higher
BTC bleeds to $63.5k as the oil scare fades — trending tape says the floor at $63.1k matters more than the fear
Oil craters on Iran pause, BTC holds $64.9k in a coiling, lean-book tape — vol resolves into the Fed
Oil craters on Iran strike pause, but BTC's $65K grind still needs a $66.8K close to earn the breakout
BTC holds $64.6k in a trending tape as a two-strait oil crisis and a broken ETF streak pull against the bid
BTC holds $64.4k in a trending tape as Brent tops $100 and yields grind higher — cleaned-out leverage keeps the upside case alive
Oil above $100 and a 4.71% 10Y keep BTC pinned at $64K — flows recovering, tape still trending
BTC pinned at $64K as oil-driven risk-off collides with steady institutional bid — macro, not crypto, is the story
Brent tops $100 and 10Y hits 4.71% — BTC bleaks to $64.1K as the oil-yield squeeze crowds out risk
BTC holds $64.7K as oil breaks $100 and yields climb — lean books, washed sentiment, and a Fed meeting on the clock
BTC holds $65K through Brent's break above $100 — ETF demand absorbs the oil shock, but rates cap the upside
BTC coils at $65.2K under $66.8K resistance — negative funding sets a squeeze, but a steepening curve and $94 Brent argue for patience
BTC holds $65.9K into an oil shock — the tape absorbing $95 Brent is the story, not the 0.7% dip
BTC holds $65.6K on ETF absorption as a two-front oil choke crisis tightens the macro screws
BTC pins the 30-day high at $66.8K on a five-session ETF streak — but restrictive real yields keep the breakout on probation
BTC prints fresh 30-day highs at $66.5K into an energy shock — trending tape vs. record ETF bleed
BTC coils $212 under the 30-day high as trending tape fights record ETF outflows and a live Hormuz war
BTC holds $64.6K into a ninth night of US-Iran strikes — resilience is real, but it's built on thin summer volume
Research archive updated
Each brief reflects the information and perspective at publication. Read it in context, consider the uncertainties, and revisit the original record.
Research, not investment advice.