The research publication of QAXUS
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A record of the moment.
A perspective on what comes next.
Independent research. Open to read.
Published research
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BTC pinned at $64K as oil-driven risk-off collides with steady institutional bid — macro, not crypto, is the story
SPY holds flat on a value bid while QQQ bleeds — the megacap AI unwind, not the close, is the story
Brent tops $100 and 10Y hits 4.71% — BTC bleaks to $64.1K as the oil-yield squeeze crowds out risk
BTC holds $64.7K as oil breaks $100 and yields climb — lean books, washed sentiment, and a Fed meeting on the clock
AI capex finally met a market that cares about cash flow, and TSLA turned the rotation into a real unwind
BTC holds $65K through Brent's break above $100 — ETF demand absorbs the oil shock, but rates cap the upside
BTC coils at $65.2K under $66.8K resistance — negative funding sets a squeeze, but a steepening curve and $94 Brent argue for patience
Index chop hid a sharper message: AI leadership held in NVDA, but rates and earnings risk kept the rest of tech on a leash
BTC holds $65.9K into an oil shock — the tape absorbing $95 Brent is the story, not the 0.7% dip
BTC holds $65.6K on ETF absorption as a two-front oil choke crisis tightens the macro screws
Chip-led ramp masks a tightening macro: QQQ rips +1.85% while SPY drags at the 750 cap and real yields grind to cycle-tights
BTC pins the 30-day high at $66.8K on a five-session ETF streak — but restrictive real yields keep the breakout on probation
BTC prints fresh 30-day highs at $66.5K into an energy shock — trending tape vs. record ETF bleed
Split tape: chips steady the Nasdaq while Tesla cracks 3% into earnings and MSTR breaks $100 — VIX +12% says the calm is thin
BTC coils $212 under the 30-day high as trending tape fights record ETF outflows and a live Hormuz war
BTC holds $64.6K into a ninth night of US-Iran strikes — resilience is real, but it's built on thin summer volume
A Live Fed Meeting Meets an Oil Supply Shock — Gold Is the Only Uncomplicated Trade
BTC coils at $64.5K under $65.5K resistance — trending tape meets fading flows and a live Hormuz risk premium
BTC pins $64.4K in a trending tape as a Hormuz shooting war and a mispriced Brent set the next move
BTC grinds to $64.6K on a squeeze setup while a collapsed US-Iran ceasefire keeps oil above $86
Research archive updated
Each brief reflects the information and perspective at publication. Read it in context, consider the uncertainties, and revisit the original record.
Research, not investment advice.